The joint probability of two or more variables being “extreme” is relevant in Flood and Coastal Risk Management (FCRM) in various contexts, including: Assessing the likelihood of extreme peak flow ...

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This important study reports three experiments examining how the subjective experience of task regularities influences perceptual decision-making. Although the evidence linking subjective ratings to ...

As we have every year, we’ll check back at the end of 2026 and provide a report card on how we did, whether our accuracy ends ...